Are we there yet?

Looking back ten years or so, and reflecting on what has transpired over the intervening years, amazing changes have taken place – many we could not have imagined, in terms of changes in society, developments in technology and economic growth … including the growth in duration and extent of traffic congestion. However, much of what … Read more

What does transport integration really mean?

Our cities are shaped by where people live, work, learn, shop and play and how they travel around. As transport users, we want connected trips. Transport connectivity is key to enabling the best use of resources, with an emphasis on sustainability. Reducing the overall socio-economic cost of transport infrastructure and services is key to achieving … Read more

Optimism Bias in Project Planning

Professor Bent Flyvbjerg in his research identified two main causes of misinformation in policy and management: strategic misrepresentation (or lying!) and optimism bias (appraisal optimism). Strategic misrepresentation is the planned, systematic distortion or misstatement of fact in response to incentives in the budget process. Optimism bias is the demonstrated systematic tendency for people to be … Read more

Bus network design: CSO or ROI?

Bus network design involves difficult choices, and trade-offs between competing objectives, within funding constraints.

At one end of the spectrum, investment in public bus services aims to achieve the strategic community outcome of moving people in an efficient manner. I refer to this as ROI or return on investment, using the commercial definition.

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Where Next with Public Transport?

The Australian Infrastructure Plan released in February 2016 by Infrastructure Australia (IA) has some key findings and recommendations for public transport across Australia.

With the project growth in population to 30 million over the next 15 years, and 5.9 million of that growth occurring in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth, there will be much greater demands on public transport services, and government budgets.

What is needed according to IA is high-frequency, interconnected public transport systems to move people efficiently and comfortably.

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The Seven Whys of Travel Demand

Congestion is the dominant challenge in cities and infrastructure networks [1]

Putting the customer first is top priority for most transport agencies. This requires improving the quality of service to users by providing key infrastructure improvements, offering travel choices, managing as one network and providing integrated services.

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Next Generation Traffic Management

 

What are potential next generation road system management innovations to address ever increasing demands on major urban road networks with more and more data becoming available?

Australian road owners and operators in major urban areas, both public and private, are facing ever increasing traffic volumes and more pervasive traffic congestion, constrained funding for new infrastructure, and political hesitancy in moving towards comprehensive road user charging.

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Benefit Cost Analysis of transport projects: 9 No-Nos

  1. Failing to state assumptions clearly.
  2. Ignoring costs due to disruption during construction
  3. Showing ‘optimism bias’ in demand forecasts; project costs; downside risks
  4. Not accounting for full costs of base-case (or ‘do-minimum’) option.
  5. Double counting benefits, eg increased land values due to better accessibility
  6. Ignoring the costs of items simply because they do not have been paid in cash, eg opportunity costs of existing land

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