How to Deal with Uncertainty when Investing in Transport 

Current practices for investing in transport are flawed, due to forecasts of future travel used to inform important transport investment decisions.  Unfortunately, future estimates are uncertain, as forecasts are influenced by some factors that are unexpected, unpredictable, difficult to predict, and outcomes are not easily quantifiable. Forecasting Transport Using Models Transport models are used to … Read more

What does successful transport integration really mean?

A large proportion of Australians live in cities. Our cities are shaped by where people live, work, learn, shop and play and how they travel around. As transport users, we want connected trips. Transport connectivity is key to enabling the best use of resources, with an emphasis on sustainability.

Reducing the overall socio-economic cost of transport infrastructure and services is key to achieving sustainability.

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How to understand the 7 motivators of travel demand?

‘Historically, infrastructure planning has sought to project future conditions as an extension of today, then provided infrastructure to meet anticipated demand. In 2021 and beyond, the approach must be more robust.’  Infrastructure Australia. 2021. Reforms to meet Australia’s future infrastructure needs, p5 Putting the customer first is top priority for transport agencies. This requires improving … Read more

Professionals need to Master Strategy

Most professionals struggle with strategy. They know that strategy is important in order to deliver the results, but consider it is senior management’s responsibility. However, all projects and plans should start with strategy – the why. Before getting into the what, how, who and when, you first need to be clear on the why. What is … Read more

Are we there yet?

Looking back ten years or so, and reflecting on what has transpired over the intervening years, amazing changes have taken place – many we could not have imagined, in terms of changes in society, developments in technology and economic growth … including the growth in duration and extent of traffic congestion. However, much of what … Read more

What does transport integration really mean?

Our cities are shaped by where people live, work, learn, shop and play and how they travel around. As transport users, we want connected trips. Transport connectivity is key to enabling the best use of resources, with an emphasis on sustainability. Reducing the overall socio-economic cost of transport infrastructure and services is key to achieving … Read more

Optimism Bias in Project Planning

Professor Bent Flyvbjerg in his research identified two main causes of misinformation in policy and management: strategic misrepresentation (or lying!) and optimism bias (appraisal optimism). Strategic misrepresentation is the planned, systematic distortion or misstatement of fact in response to incentives in the budget process. Optimism bias is the demonstrated systematic tendency for people to be … Read more