uncertainty

Key Issue: Decarbonisation of Australia’s Transport Network

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Top Takeaways 1. The Climate Imperative Transport emissions in Australia have grown steadily: in 2022, they hit 90 Mt CO₂-e (21% of national emissions), up 19% since 2005. Road vehicles dominate this footprint, with cars and light commercial vehicles alone contributing 62% of transport-related pollution. As electricity-sector emissions fall, transport risks becoming the largest emitter … Read more

How to Deal with Uncertainty when Investing in Transport 

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Current practices for investing in transport are flawed, due to forecasts of future travel used to inform important transport investment decisions.  Unfortunately, future estimates are uncertain, as forecasts are influenced by some factors that are unexpected, unpredictable, difficult to predict, and outcomes are not easily quantifiable. Forecasting Transport Using Models Transport models are used to … Read more